Cash Pack Week 2
Tough 1–4 start to the 2021 campaign. Time to get back on track with Week 2 sweep.
North Carolina -26 vs Georgia St
North Carolina was embarrassed by Virginia Tech last weekend, and this week is a perfect time for them to get right for the rest of the season. Sam Howell was a Heisman hopeful and between the VT crowd and aggressive Defensive they held him in check. Now he comes home to North Carolina against a brutal defense with a lot to prove. Based on week 1 numbers North Carolina still outgains Georgia State by nearly 200 yards despite a terrible performance. They also Run for 4.9 a carry compared to Georgia State’s 1.7. The rush defense was a challenge for North Carolina against VT but they will not be competing with the same caliber of an offensive line. Georgia State lost to Army by the score of 33. Army is a team that runs the ball and chews clock and GSU still gave up 43 points. Look for the Tar Heels to try and save their reputation with a dominating win over Georgia St
Texas A&M over 33.5 team total
One of my favorite bets of the week is the Aggies over 33.5 for the game vs Colorado. Texas A&M is another team with CFP playoff hopes. Last year they were over 100th ranked in offensive pace. They were #8 in the nation in pace in week 1. It is clear that is a focus for TAMU, and they get a great matchup to put up points against Colorado. Texas A&M put up 600 yards last week with a 70% 3rd down conversion rate. They also were balanced running and throwing the ball. The reason I am taking the team total as opposed to the spread is because Colorado is very capable of scoring and I don’t trust either defense. This should make for a high scoring game and see TAMU wanting to make another statement early in the year. This game is also being played in Denver so it will not be a true road game.
Notre Dame -16.5 over Toledo
I like this spot for ND as they return home after a road thriller against Florida State. Despite the game going into overtime Notre Dame was up by 18 points late in the 3rd quarter. Florida State focused on taking away the run game led by a Georgia transfer on the FSU D-line. Notre Dame threw at will and for some reason abandoned it in the second half which led to the FSU comeback. Brian Kelly was clearly not happy with the performance and will make sure ND corrects mistakes against MAC opponent — Toledo. This game is a great spot for Notre Dame to lean on their Offensive line and running game to wear down Toledo over the course of the game, and with the way Jack Coan played week 1 I could see another big offensive game for the Irish.
Pitt -3 vs Tennessee
I like Pitt laying the points on the road vs Tennessee. Both teams played far worse teams week 1 and Pitt has the stat edge based on week 1. They converted 3rd down at a 61.5% clip compared to Tennessee’s 46.7%. The Vols were also able to rely on their run game against Bowling Green which will not be as easy against Pitt. Pitt’s front 7 is loaded with returning Seniors and Juniors who were one of the best rush defenses in the NCAA last year. I don’t like Milton, the QB for Tennessee, and Pitt will give them plenty of issues. Kenny Pickett is also a veteran and put up 600 yards of offense in their season opener. Tennessee being at home will give them a boost but I think the Panthers are the better team.
Troy +4.5 vs Liberty
Liberty Biberty is the popular play because of how well they played last year and the electricity that QB Malik Willis brings to the table. However the numbers point towards Troy. Both teams had blowout wins against weak competition in the first game of the year. Troy’s defense however was more impressive allowing only 189 yards of offense. Troy at home getting 4.5 points in a game that could be a coin flip just makes too much sense. Take the Trojans.
Florida -28.5 vs USF
USF sucks. Florida is good.
Time to Bounce Back.
